Results of Manila

Manila Bay Pier has welcomed its last visitor and is now closed. 23 solvers survived the journey and carried four commodities to start a new life in the capital.

Here is the order they reached Manila Bay Pier: Edison He, Nick Brady, Zach Polansky, Gavriel Hirsch, Kishore Kumar, Nikola Zivanovic, Antonis Lalatsas, Antonios Fantakis, Ken Levine, James McGowan, Alan O’Donnell, Branko Ceranic, Thomas Powell, Robert Vollmert, Sinchai Rungsangrattanakul, Arturo Vial, Michael Mosshammer, Raphael Lehrer, Ivan Koswara, Matej Uher, Andrew Brecher, Franck Wallez and Zbigniew Laskowski.

At the pier, all entrants took turns devaluing certain items and investing in commodities of their choice. Several people, one of whom is James McGowan, found that … “a 2-1-1-1 investment will always be middle of the field, so I need to invest 3+ in one commodity and hope that it is worth more than the other three, in which case I should just invest all 5 in it because it is worth more than the other three”.

That is exactly what happened. By putting all eggs in one basket you pretty much have 1 in 4 chances of winning since; at the end of the day, at least one commodity will be worth the most. I only reasoned this out two days after launching Manila so it was too late to change anything. Next time I promise a better luck-based game.

Interestingly each commodity had at least one person who invested all 5 in. Without further ado, let’s take a look at the final net worth after all the spills had been subtracted:

manilares1Ginseng’s the most promising commodity here!
And here are the results:
manilares2

The 4 people who struck richest are; Zach Polansky, you and I know him as Jack Lance, who run his own puzzle blog with on and off weeks introducing themed gimmicks each time. He was third to reach Manila Bay Pier. Next we have James McGowan, previous winner of Race up the Sky, looking to win his second event. I enjoy his commentary that comes along with all his submissions very much, an SOTR regular. Another past winner is Thomas Powell, joint winner in Anchors Aweigh last year and almost won again in Nikoli Hurdles 2, now another shot at Manila. Notice how regulars seem to have more chances of winning? Enter! Enter!
And rounding up the top investors is Michael Mosshammer, I sat behind him at the 24HPC this year exchanging a few words throughout the day. He and the other 3 now compete for the top 2 prizes.

Tie-break; each competitor is given an extra 3 pesos to invest in the remaining commodities. Everyone was told about the situation: 4 people and looking for 2 winners.

Before we get there, I also promised a third prize. Zbigniew Laskowski was the last submission just before the deadline making the total of entries reach exactly 23. This means that essentially, the last prize will be awarded to the person who came in last place!
We have two competitors tied with this distinction: Nick Brady, a regular at SOTR since Colour Restore and Robert Vollmert, another puzzler I met in Hungary last April. They were also given another 3 pesos but were only told that they were competing for the 23rd-place prize (crucially, were not told to aim for last place).

Let’s announce the 3 winners:
manilares3 Congratulations to Zach Polansky from the United States, Michael Mosshammer from Austria and Nick Brady from the United States! 
Zach will receive Specially Selected Nurikabe, Michael will receive Specially Selected Masyu and Nick gets the Specially Selected Fillomino.

Now we have another event wrapped up!
After a few posts about details of Manila, my next event will be announced.

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Until next time!

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One response

  1. Always a good time! Love the need to step through puzzles into others on the mission for name recognition and actual prizes. Thanks for the time you invest in my entertainment!

    As for strategy on the tiebreaking aspect (before the tiebreaking tiebreaking), I think that it depends somewhat on the number of participants (as well as the number of commodities to select from). The greater the commodities the better the middle strategy works and the less likely one is to win with an all in one commodity approach. Also, at a certain point, the 5 of a kind’s 1/# of commodities chances rises to the best %. At low registrant numbers (where it is not certain that each commodity will have an all-in pick), I think the middle ground may be the better strategy. If anyone has actually thought this game through and feels otherwise, I would welcome the analysis.

    All that aside, thanks for the fun.

    TheSubro

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